Crime & Safety in Fredericksburg
Fredericksburg's crime data shows a real, sharp, genuinely unreconciled disagreement across sources this pass -- one framing describes the city as safer than the national average, while NeighborhoodScout separately cites an overall crime rate placing Fredericksburg above 97% of Virginia communities.
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Learn moreA favorable framing: safer than average, lower cost of crime
One source (via Niche) describes Fredericksburg as "as safe as the Virginia state average and safer than the national average," citing a cost of crime of $361 per resident per year -- $103 below the national average and $71 below the Virginia state average.
A sharply different framing: NeighborhoodScout
NeighborhoodScout instead cites an overall crime rate of 36 per 1,000 residents for Fredericksburg -- described as "one of the highest crime rates in America" compared to all U.S. communities of all sizes -- with more than 97% of Virginia communities carrying a LOWER crime rate than Fredericksburg, and 1-in-168 odds of becoming a victim of violent crime.
Why these two framings genuinely disagree
These two citations point in genuinely opposite directions and are not reconciled here, similar in kind to the Aurora, CO crime-data disagreement documented elsewhere in this dataset -- both are disclosed rather than picking whichever reads more favorably or more alarming. The disagreement may reflect different comparison baselines (Fredericksburg's own numbers vs. state/national averages, or all-communities-of-all-sizes vs. similarly-sized-communities comparisons) not fully reconciled by either source's own methodology notes.
A recommendation given the disclosed disagreement
Given this real, sharp, unresolved disagreement, buyers and renters prioritizing crime data should check a specific target neighborhood directly with more than one current source rather than relying on either citation alone. No specific neighborhood is named as unsafe here, per site policy.
Key takeaways
- Fredericksburg's crime data carries a real, sharp, genuinely unreconciled disagreement: safer-than-average per one framing vs. NeighborhoodScout's citation placing it above 97% of Virginia communities.
- NeighborhoodScout cites a 36/1,000 overall crime rate and 1-in-168 violent-crime victim odds -- among the higher readings in this dataset's Virginia build.
- A separate framing cites a cost of crime ($361/resident/year) below both the national and Virginia state averages.
- Given this real disagreement, check a specific target neighborhood directly with more than one current source; no specific area is named as unsafe here.
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