Climate in Brandon
Brandon shares the Tampa Bay area's humid subtropical climate -- hot, wet summers and short, mild winters -- with the nearest long-term climate-normal data drawn from Tampa International Airport, roughly 15 miles to the west.
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Learn moreWarm year-round with a wide summer/winter swing
Tampa-area daily highs average around 71°F in the coolest part of January (lows near 52°F) and around 91°F in the hottest stretch of July-August (lows near 77°F), per regional climate-normal aggregation. The area sees roughly 94 days a year when temperatures reach into the 90s, and frost is rare.
Rainfall is substantial, and recent storms have tested local drainage
The Tampa area's annual rainfall runs around 52 inches, concentrated heavily in summer thunderstorms -- but the more relevant recent data point for Brandon specifically is Hurricane Milton's October 2024 rainfall of 10-15 inches in under 24 hours, which exceeded what local stormwater systems and retention ponds could handle in several neighborhoods (see taxes-insurance).
Hurricane season overlaps the wettest months
Atlantic hurricane season runs June through November. Brandon's inland position reduces direct storm-surge exposure relative to coastal Tampa Bay communities, but as Hurricane Milton demonstrated, extreme rainfall and drainage overflow remain a genuine risk independent of surge.
Key takeaways
- Humid subtropical climate: daily highs around 71°F in January and around 91°F in July-August, based on Tampa-area climate normals.
- About 52 inches of annual rainfall in a typical year, concentrated in the summer wet season.
- Hurricane Milton (October 2024) delivered 10-15 inches of rain in under 24 hours, overwhelming drainage in parts of Brandon -- a recent, concrete illustration of the area's rainfall-driven flood risk.
- Frost is rare; Brandon's inland position lowers storm-surge risk relative to coastal Tampa Bay but not rainfall-driven flood risk.
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